TargetSmart - William & Mary Poll - Ohio Statewide Wave 2
TargetSmart - William & Mary Poll - Ohio Statewide Wave 2
TargetSmart - William & Mary Poll - Ohio Statewide Wave 2
Coleman Bass
TargetSmart Communications, LLC
(443) 676-1803
PressPublicPolling@targetsmart.com
EDITORS NOTE:
Expl ore our i nteractive dashboard with s urvey results a nd voter file data here
NEW PRE-DEBATE TARGETSMART AND WILLIAM & MARY POLL OF OHIO LIKELY VOTERS
-Clinton 43, Trump 40 Latest Survey ShowsOctober 8, 2016 The contest for Ohios 18 electoral votes remains ti ght, according to a new poll of 812 l ikely voters released today by Ta rgetSmart
a nd William & Ma ry. Hi llary Cl inton garners 43 percent of the vote to Donald Trumps 40 percent, with 8 percent of voters b acking Gary Johnson. These
trends a re largely i n-line with TargetSmart a nd William & Ma rys survey from late September, in which 40 percent of likely voters in Ohio backed
Cl i nton and 37 percent s upported Trump.
Thi s is the second poll released by Ta rgetSmart a nd William & Ma ry s ince the political data company and university formed a partnership to conduct
res earch i n key battleground s tates. Ma ny publicly rel eased s urveys use s elf-reported likelihood to vote to i dentify a likely voter sample, screening out
s urvey res pondents who may end up participating, or i ncluding respondents who may not ultimately vote. The l ikely voter model used to weight this
s urvey da ta starts by mirroring all registered voters on the TargetSmart voter file, and then applies a second round of weights based s olely on
res pondents likelihood to vote, as measured by Ta rgetSmarts General El ection Turnout s core, one of many predictive models h oused on the
Ta rgetSmart voter file.
Ra ther than preventing certain registered voters from participating in the survey, our likely voter model puts more weight behind the survey
res ponses of those voters with a demonstrated past behavior of participation, a nd down weights responses from those who are l ess likely to vote,
s a id Ron Rapoport, John Ma rshall Professor of Government at William & Ma ry.
Survey res ults s how Donald Trump continues to struggle with his base, a ttracting just 74 percent of s elf -described Republican voters. On the flip side,
Hi l lary Cl i nton wins the support of 88 percent of self-described Democrats. Independents favor Trump by a narrow 5-point margin (35 percent for
Cl i nton to 40 percent for Trump), but 14 percent of these key s wing voters back Johnson. Trump also l eads a mong men (by 8 points), holding
pa rti cularly s trong a dvantages among white men (by 21 poi nts), married men (by 23 poi nts), a nd men without a college degree (by 17 poi nts). Overall,
whi te voters without a college degree favor Trump by 23 points. Cl intons coalition consists of African Americans (with whom she leads by 74 points),
unma rried voters (by 19 poi nts) a nd college educated women (by 22 poi nts). Cl inton also holds a marginal a dvantage amon g white college graduates
(by 4 poi nts).
Mos t of those surveyed (80 percent) report having watched the first presidential debate and these voters generally believe Cl inton won (62 percent say
s he won, 17 percent s ay Trump won); notably, one-in-three Ohio Republican voters (34 percent) believe Cl inton won the first debate. Moreover, a third
of l i kely Ohi o voters overall (32 pe rcent), as well as independent voters more s pecifically (32 percent), report that Trumps debate performance made
them l ess likely to s upport him.
Our s urvey s uggests that Trumps performance i n the debate itself has been more damaging to his prospects i n Ohio than the s ubsequent fallout over
Al i cia Ma chado and his ta x returns, said Ta rgetSmart pollster Ben Lazarus.
Mos t voters have seen, heard or read something a bout Machado (69 percent) and Trumps tax returns (85 percent) a ccording to the survey. However,
onl y 1-i n-5 voters (21 percent) report that information a bout Ma chado has made them less inclined to vote for Trump, and only ma rginall y more (26
percent) s ay what they ha ve heard a bout Trumps ta x returns negatively i mpacts their likelihood to support him. Notably, a plurality of Ohio voters (45
percent) believe Trump has not released his tax returns because he knows they will cause political problems for him. Just 25 percent take him at his
word tha t he ca nnot release his returns due to a routine IRS audit. Ohio voters a re also relatively s uspect of Secretary Cl i nton when it comes to tra de,
a s just 20 percent believe s he will remain against the TPP i n the future, while 38 percent say s he will change her position o n i t and ultimately support
the deal.
###
About TargetSmart:
TargetSmart is the leading provider of political data that enables campaigns and organizations to successfully communicate wi th large audiences, and
personalize outreach. Our superior politically-focused, consultative approach combines consumer data, databases, data integration and consulting solutions for
personalized multichannel marketing strategies. TargetSmart leverages over 25 years of experience in data management to deliv er high-performance, reliable
data products and solutions.
About William & Mary:
William & Mary is a public university located in Williamsburg, Virginia. Founded by Royal Charter in 1693, it is the second o ldest institution of higher education
in the United States. U.S. News and World Report ranks William & Mary sixth among all public universities in the country.
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
How likely are you to vote in the general election this November? Would you say you definitely will vote, probably will vote,
the chances are 50-50 that you will vote, you probably will not vote, or you definitely will not vote?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Definitely
...............................................................................................................................................................
will vote
90
.Probably
...............................................................................................................................................................
will vote
5
.Chances
are 50-50
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
.Probably
...............................................................................................................................................................
will not vote
2
.Definitely
...............................................................................................................................................................
will not vote
0
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Definitely/Probably
...............................................................................................................................................................
Will vote
95
.Probably/Definitely
...............................................................................................................................................................
Will not Vote
2
.
Now I'm going to read you the names of several political figures, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very
favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you have no opinion or have never heard of that
person, please say so.
Very
Fav
A. Hillary Clinton 26
B. Donald Trump 22
C. John Kasich
21
Smwt
Fav
16
16
30
Smwt
Unfav
9
8
17
Very
Unfav
46
51
17
(No
Opin/Ntrl)
3
3
11
(Never
heard)
0
4
(Prefer
not to
answer)
1
1
1
Total
Fav
42
38
51
Total
Unfav
54
59
33
Fav
Unfav
-12
-21
17
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
In the election for President this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Hillary Clinton,
Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein -- for whom would you vote?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Hillary
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton
42
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Hillary Clinton
1
.Donald
...............................................................................................................................................................
Trump
39
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
1
.Gary
...............................................................................................................................................................
Johnson
7
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Gary Johnson
1
.Jill
...............................................................................................................................................................
Stein
2
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Jill Stein
0
.(Other
...............................................................................................................................................................
candidate)
1
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
(Other candidate)
0
.(Undecided)
...............................................................................................................................................................3
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Hillary Clinton
43
.Total
Donald Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
40
.Total
Gary Johnson
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Jill Stein
2
.Total
(Other candidate)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.Total
(Would not vote)
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton - Total Trump
3
.
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
TargetSmart Communications
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
And yes or no, did you watch the first Presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on Monday,
September 26th?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
80
.No
...............................................................................................................................................................
20
.(Don't
know/prefer not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
.
(Effective Base: 646)
(ASKED OF THOSE WHO WATCHED THE FIRST DEBATE) And would you say Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump won the debate?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Hillary
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton
62
.Donald
Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
17
.(Neither
candidate/tie/no clear winner)
...............................................................................................................................................................
19
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know/prefer not to answer)
2
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Clinton
- Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
45
.
(Effective Base: 646)
(ASKED OF THOSE WHO WATCHED THE FIRST DEBATE) And did Hillary Clinton's performance in the debate make you more
or less likely to support her for President, or did it make no difference?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Much
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
17
.Somewhat
...............................................................................................................................................................
more likely
9
.Somewhat
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
4
.Much
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
14
.Did
...............................................................................................................................................................
not make a difference/neither more nor less likely
56
.(Don't
know/prefer not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
more likely
25
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
less likely
18
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
more likely - Total less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
And in the last week or so, have you seen, read, or heard anything about Donald Trump's tax returns?
Has what you have seen, read, or heard about Donald Trump's tax returns made you more or less likely to support Donald
Trump for President, or has it made no difference?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.No
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Have not seen, read, or heard anything
15
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Much more likely
5
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Somewhat more likely
3
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Somewhat less likely
4
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Much less likely
21
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Made no difference
52
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know/prefer not to answer)
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
More Likely
7
.Total
Less Likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
26
.Total
Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
85
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
more likely - Total less likely
-19
.
As you may know, Donald Trump has not released his federal income tax returns to the public. Do you think that is because
Trump is concerned details from the tax returns will cause political problems for him; OR because Trump is under a routine
IRS audit, and as a result his attorneys have recommended he keep his tax returns private?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Will
cause political problems
...............................................................................................................................................................
45
.Routine
...............................................................................................................................................................
IRS audit
25
.(Both)
...............................................................................................................................................................5
.(Neither)
...............................................................................................................................................................6
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know/unsure)
18
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.
As you may know, Hillary Clinton once advocated for the Trans Pacific Partnership free trade deal, also known as TPP, but
has now come out against the TPP. Do you think Clinton is against the TPP now and will remain against it in the future; OR
Clinton is against the TPP for political reasons now and will change her position to support TPP in the future?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Will
...............................................................................................................................................................
remain against TPP
20
.Will
change position on TPP in future
...............................................................................................................................................................
38
.(Both)
...............................................................................................................................................................2
.(Neither)
...............................................................................................................................................................1
.(Don't
know/unsure)
...............................................................................................................................................................
37
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
2
.
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
Now, I'd like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat,
a Republican, an independent, or something else?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strong
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
24
.Weak
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
8
.Independent-lean
Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Independent-lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
15
.Weak
Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Strong
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
21
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know/Refused)
0
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
31
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
with Leaners
36
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
32
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Republican
-1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem
...............................................................................................................................................................
42
.Pure
Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Repub
47
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem - Republican and Ind. Lean Repub
...............................................................................................................................................................
-5
.
In general, would you describe your political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or
very conservative?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Very
...............................................................................................................................................................
liberal
10
.Somewhat
...............................................................................................................................................................
liberal
14
.Moderate
...............................................................................................................................................................
30
.Somewhat
...............................................................................................................................................................
conservative
26
.Very
...............................................................................................................................................................
conservative
16
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Liberal
24
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Conservative
43
.
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
targetsmart.com
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 3-6 2016
Media Market
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.White
...............................................................................................................................................................
83
.Black
...............................................................................................................................................................
14
.Hispanic
...............................................................................................................................................................2
.Asian/Pacific
...............................................................................................................................................................
Islander
0
.Other
...............................................................................................................................................................1
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.
Cincinnati
...............................................................................................................................................................
16
.Cleveland
...............................................................................................................................................................
33
.Columbus
...............................................................................................................................................................
22
.Dayton
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Toledo
...............................................................................................................................................................8
.Youngstown
...............................................................................................................................................................5
.Other
...............................................................................................................................................................6
.
targetsmart.com
13
targetsmart.com
Total
Dem
-1
-5
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
Party ID Difference...
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
43
40
8
2
1
88
5
2
2
-
35
40
14
3
1
9
74
8
1
3
76
12
4
3
0
49
36
10
1
-
37
47
7
3
-
32
45
13
3
9
70
12
2
4
(Undecided)
83
-5
-65
63
13
-10
-12
-61
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
46
43
90
5
39
46
10
77
78
13
51
37
41
49
35
49
11
77
(Undecided)
10
12
85
-7
-68
65
13
-9
-14
-67
targetsmart.com
Total
Men
Race
Women White
Black
Non White
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Marital Status
Gender/Marital
White White
Men Women
Marr
ied
Unmarr
ied
Marr
ied
Men
Marr Unmarr
Unmarr
ied
ied
ied Men Women Women
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
43
40
8
2
1
38
46
10
2
1
48
35
7
2
1
37
46
9
2
2
83
9
1
2
-
76
13
3
2
-
31
52
11
2
1
42
41
8
2
2
38
46
8
2
2
51
32
9
2
1
30
53
10
1
2
52
32
9
3
-
46
39
6
2
1
50
31
8
2
2
(Undecided)
-8
13
-9
75
62
-21
-8
19
-23
20
19
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
46
43
41
49
50
38
39
49
85
9
77
15
34
55
44
44
40
50
54
34
32
57
56
34
48
42
53
34
(Undecided)
-9
12
-10
77
62
-22
-10
20
-25
22
19
targetsmart.com
Education
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Men
Non Coll
Men
Coll
White/Education
Women
Non - Women
Coll
Coll
White
Non Coll
Evangelical
White
Coll
Total
Evange
lical
White
Evange
lical
Total
18 - 49
50 and
over
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
Party ID Difference...
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
43
40
8
2
1
42
35
13
3
2
44
46
3
1
1
46
34
11
2
2
40
47
6
2
1
36
53
5
2
1
40
39
14
2
1
44
41
6
2
1
52
30
8
3
2
31
54
7
2
1
42
38
11
2
2
31
52
8
3
3
19
62
9
2
4
(Undecided)
-3
12
-7
-17
22
-23
-21
-43
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
46
43
45
40
45
48
49
38
42
49
37
56
44
42
47
43
54
33
33
58
45
41
34
57
23
68
(Undecided)
10
10
11
10
-3
12
-7
-19
21
-24
-23
-45
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Total
Clevel and
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
Canton OH
OH
OH
Other
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
-5
-10
-10
-11
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
43
40
8
2
1
51
32
9
2
1
41
40
9
5
2
42
44
7
2
1
37
48
7
1
1
(Undecided)
19
-2
-11
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
46
43
54
37
44
43
43
45
38
50
(Undecided)
17
-2
-12
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
Party ID Difference...
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
43
40
8
2
1
42
44
7
1
2
45
40
8
2
2
46
39
7
2
2
46
39
7
2
2
35
43
12
2
-
(Undecided)
-2
-8
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
46
43
43
48
47
43
48
42
48
42
38
47
(Undecided)
11
-4
-9
targetsmart.com
Total
Dem
-1
-5
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
(370)
(229)
(114)
(25)
(198)
(56)
(67)
(29)
(22)
56
41
3
65
34
1
45
50
6
30
67
4
64
33
3
46
49
5
49
51
-
46
51
3
44
56
-
(353)
(14)
(135)
(203)
(33)
(41)
(81)
(40)
(158)
47
49
4
55
45
-
42
54
5
49
47
4
58
39
3
45
54
1
52
44
4
59
33
8
39
57
4
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
80
20
-
81
19
-
77
23
-
81
19
-
82
18
-
72
28
-
78
22
-
81
19
-
82
18
-
Party ID Difference...
Debate watch...
Total Answering
Yes
No
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
Debate winner...
Total Answering
(646)
(205)
(226)
(212)
(206)
(79)
(128)
(66)
(167)
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
(Neither candidate/tie/no clear winner)
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
17
19
2
92
1
6
2
62
17
19
2
34
32
32
2
83
7
9
1
66
13
19
2
55
21
22
2
63
18
13
6
40
28
31
1
Clinton - Trump
45
91
45
76
52
34
45
12
(646)
(205)
(226)
(212)
(206)
(79)
(128)
(66)
(167)
17
9
4
14
56
1
36
10
1
1
52
1
13
11
5
16
56
-
2
6
5
25
60
1
30
11
3
6
49
1
20
13
6
11
48
1
16
8
3
13
59
1
9
5
1
11
74
-
1
6
5
28
59
1
25
18
45
2
24
21
8
30
41
9
33
17
24
15
14
12
8
33
44
-22
32
16
-25
(646)
(205)
(226)
(212)
(206)
(79)
(128)
(66)
(167)
7
5
8
24
55
1
0
1
4
46
48
1
6
4
10
23
56
2
14
9
10
5
61
1
2
3
5
41
47
1
8
7
8
24
51
3
6
2
7
20
63
2
7
0
11
27
55
-
11
10
11
5
62
1
12
32
1
50
10
32
23
14
6
46
15
32
8
27
7
37
21
16
-20
-48
-23
-41
-17
-19
-30
targetsmart.com
Total
Men
Race
Women White
Black
Non White
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Marital Status
Gender/Marital
White White
Men Women
Marr
ied
Unmarr
ied
Marr
ied
Men
Marr Unmarr
Unmarr
ied
ied
ied Men Women Women
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
(370)
(157)
(213)
(262)
(94)
(106)
(108)
(154)
(202)
(160)
(82)
(73)
(120)
(86)
56
41
3
52
45
3
60
38
2
56
42
2
61
36
3
57
40
4
53
44
3
59
40
1
53
43
4
60
39
1
52
44
4
51
47
2
53
43
4
67
33
-
(353)
(190)
(162)
(331)
(9)
(21)
(177)
(154)
(252)
(99)
(145)
(45)
(107)
(55)
47
49
4
48
48
3
45
51
5
47
49
4
59
28
13
46
48
6
47
49
4
46
50
4
46
50
4
47
48
5
47
48
5
52
48
-
45
52
3
43
48
9
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
80
20
78
22
81
19
81
19
75
25
75
25
78
22
83
17
80
20
79
21
78
22
78
22
82
18
80
20
Debate watch...
Total Answering
Yes
No
(Don't know/prefer not to
answer)
Debate winner...
Total Answering
(646)
(302)
(345)
(540)
(82)
(103)
(249)
(291)
(405)
(231)
(198)
(101)
(208)
(130)
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
(Neither candidate/tie/no clear
winner)
(Don't know/prefer not to
answer)
62
17
59
16
64
17
58
19
86
5
82
7
54
19
62
18
59
19
68
14
54
18
70
12
63
19
66
16
19
23
16
21
11
25
17
20
17
25
17
16
16
Clinton - Trump
45
43
47
40
82
74
35
44
40
53
36
58
44
50
(646)
(302)
(345)
(540)
(82)
(103)
(249)
(291)
(405)
(231)
(198)
(101)
(208)
(130)
17
9
4
14
56
14
9
4
15
58
19
9
3
14
54
13
9
4
16
57
40
11
1
2
46
34
9
2
2
52
11
8
4
17
60
15
9
4
16
54
15
9
4
16
56
20
8
4
11
56
12
8
3
17
60
18
11
5
9
56
17
10
4
15
53
21
6
2
12
56
25
18
23
18
28
17
22
20
51
3
44
5
19
21
25
20
24
20
28
14
20
20
29
14
28
19
27
15
11
47
39
-2
13
15
12
(646)
(302)
(345)
(540)
(82)
(103)
(249)
(291)
(405)
(231)
(198)
(101)
(208)
(130)
7
5
8
24
55
7
4
7
22
59
6
5
8
26
52
8
6
8
21
56
2
42
56
1
6
39
54
8
5
7
18
60
8
6
9
24
51
7
5
9
21
56
5
4
5
28
55
8
5
8
19
59
5
3
6
27
58
7
5
11
24
53
5
6
5
29
53
12
32
11
29
12
35
13
29
44
1
45
13
25
14
33
13
31
10
33
13
27
8
33
12
34
11
34
-20
-18
-23
-16
44
-43
-12
-19
-18
-24
-14
-25
-22
-23
targetsmart.com
Education
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Men
Non Coll
Men
Coll
White/Education
Women
Non - Women
Coll
Coll
White
Non Coll
Evangelical
White
Coll
Total
Evange
lical
White
Evange
lical
Total
18 - 49
50 and
over
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
(370)
(179)
(184)
(200)
(167)
(71)
(85)
(96)
(114)
(107)
(156)
(78)
(41)
56
41
3
49
46
4
63
36
1
54
44
2
59
38
3
55
42
3
49
48
3
62
35
3
57
42
2
58
38
4
55
44
1
58
42
-
61
39
-
(353)
(157)
(196)
(153)
(196)
(107)
(83)
(89)
(70)
(185)
(144)
(131)
(122)
47
49
4
45
53
3
48
47
5
36
59
5
55
41
3
56
41
3
38
58
4
54
42
4
33
61
6
55
42
3
36
59
6
47
48
5
47
49
4
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
80
20
-
78
22
-
81
19
-
82
18
-
78
22
-
74
26
-
82
18
-
81
19
-
82
18
-
79
21
-
83
17
-
78
22
-
78
22
-
Party ID Difference...
Debate watch...
Total Answering
Yes
No
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
Debate winner...
Total Answering
(646)
(307)
(333)
(333)
(308)
(142)
(159)
(167)
(174)
(253)
(286)
(179)
(141)
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
(Neither candidate/tie/no clear
winner)
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
17
65
18
59
16
66
14
58
20
58
19
61
14
59
22
71
13
53
23
63
15
49
23
43
26
19
16
22
20
19
21
24
16
15
21
20
26
29
Clinton - Trump
45
47
43
52
38
39
47
37
57
30
48
25
17
(646)
(307)
(333)
(333)
(308)
(142)
(159)
(167)
(174)
(253)
(286)
(179)
(141)
17
9
4
14
56
1
13
11
5
11
59
0
19
7
2
17
53
1
15
11
4
12
57
-
18
7
3
16
55
2
18
6
4
16
56
1
10
12
4
13
61
-
18
7
3
16
54
3
20
10
4
12
54
-
12
6
3
20
57
2
14
12
4
14
56
-
11
9
3
20
55
2
7
7
4
23
57
2
25
18
24
16
26
19
26
16
24
19
24
19
22
17
25
19
30
16
18
23
26
18
20
23
14
27
10
15
-5
-3
-13
(646)
(307)
(333)
(333)
(308)
(142)
(159)
(167)
(174)
(253)
(286)
(179)
(141)
7
5
8
24
55
1
5
4
12
20
58
1
8
6
4
27
53
2
4
4
9
23
59
1
9
6
6
25
52
2
8
4
6
24
57
2
6
4
9
19
61
1
10
7
7
27
47
2
3
4
10
26
57
1
11
7
6
20
54
2
5
5
10
23
57
1
6
8
8
18
59
2
7
10
8
12
61
2
12
32
9
33
14
31
8
32
15
32
12
29
10
29
17
33
7
36
18
26
9
33
14
26
17
20
-20
-24
-17
-24
-17
-17
-19
-16
-29
-8
-23
-11
-3
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Total
Clevel and
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
Canton OH
OH
OH
Other
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
-5
-10
-10
-11
(370)
(147)
(77)
(57)
(89)
56
41
3
54
43
3
51
45
4
58
41
1
63
35
2
(353)
(100)
(75)
(59)
(118)
47
49
4
40
54
6
50
47
2
40
51
9
53
46
1
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
80
20
-
78
22
-
79
21
-
78
22
-
83
17
-
Debate watch...
Total Answering
Yes
No
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
Debate winner...
Total Answering
(646)
(211)
(138)
(101)
(196)
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
(Neither candidate/tie/no clear winner)
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
17
19
2
68
14
17
1
58
17
23
2
66
11
22
1
56
23
17
3
Clinton - Trump
45
54
41
56
33
(646)
(211)
(138)
(101)
(196)
17
9
4
14
56
1
21
12
1
12
53
1
15
10
6
14
54
1
11
7
2
12
69
-
16
6
5
18
54
2
25
18
33
13
25
20
18
13
21
23
20
-2
(646)
(211)
(138)
(101)
(196)
7
5
8
24
55
1
5
5
9
33
47
1
7
4
11
22
56
1
6
5
7
18
65
-
9
5
5
19
58
3
12
32
10
42
11
33
11
24
15
24
-20
-33
-22
-13
-10
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
(370)
(169)
(235)
(270)
(293)
(77)
56
41
3
64
35
1
57
40
3
57
40
3
58
39
3
49
48
3
(353)
(185)
(217)
(240)
(256)
(96)
47
49
4
44
53
4
42
55
3
43
53
4
43
53
4
56
40
4
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
80
20
-
82
18
-
81
19
-
80
20
-
79
21
-
81
19
-
Party ID Difference...
Debate watch...
Total Answering
Yes
No
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
Debate winner...
Total Answering
(646)
(319)
(404)
(451)
(482)
(164)
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
(Neither candidate/tie/no clear winner)
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
17
19
2
62
17
19
2
64
15
19
2
64
16
18
2
64
16
18
2
56
21
22
2
Clinton - Trump
45
46
48
48
49
35
(646)
(319)
(404)
(451)
(482)
(164)
17
9
4
14
56
1
15
12
3
17
53
0
16
11
3
15
55
0
17
10
2
15
54
1
17
10
3
15
54
1
15
6
6
11
61
1
25
18
27
20
27
18
27
18
27
18
21
17
10
(646)
(319)
(404)
(451)
(482)
(164)
7
5
8
24
55
1
6
6
8
24
56
0
5
5
8
26
55
1
6
5
8
25
55
1
6
5
8
25
55
1
9
4
7
22
55
2
12
32
12
32
10
34
11
33
11
33
13
30
-20
-20
-23
-22
-22
-16
targetsmart.com
Total
Dem
-1
-5
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
Party ID Difference...
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
30
3
1
5
17
43
2
28
2
1
4
32
31
2
30
3
1
5
15
45
1
31
5
2
5
4
52
2
29
3
1
3
27
38
1
28
2
6
23
39
2
36
4
1
4
13
40
3
27
3
3
17
49
1
29
5
2
7
3
52
2
5
21
3
36
4
20
7
8
3
29
2
29
5
18
3
20
7
10
-17
-33
-15
-2
-26
-26
-13
-17
-3
69
71
69
67
70
70
62
72
70
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
15
5
3
4
21
52
1
18
2
1
4
40
32
1
13
5
2
5
20
56
-
14
6
5
4
5
66
1
17
4
2
3
37
36
1
17
4
2
5
26
46
1
18
4
1
7
17
54
-
13
4
1
3
22
55
2
10
7
6
5
3
70
0
7
26
4
45
7
25
10
9
5
40
6
30
5
24
5
25
12
7
-19
-41
-17
-35
-24
-19
-20
85
81
87
86
82
82
82
85
90
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
45
25
5
6
18
1
70
9
5
2
14
0
43
28
3
6
19
2
25
37
7
11
19
1
60
15
4
4
17
1
46
27
4
5
18
1
44
25
4
6
18
3
34
26
6
8
25
1
32
35
6
10
15
2
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
20
38
2
1
37
2
28
16
2
1
50
3
21
45
2
1
30
2
12
53
3
2
31
-
27
23
3
1
44
2
26
35
1
0
37
2
18
39
1
1
41
1
14
40
1
3
39
3
13
58
3
2
24
0
targetsmart.com
Total
Men
Race
Women White
Black
Non White
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Marital Status
Gender/Marital
White White
Men Women
Marr
ied
Unmarr
ied
Marr
ied
Men
Marr Unmarr
Unmarr
ied
ied
ied Men Women Women
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
30
3
1
5
17
43
2
30
3
1
5
14
44
2
30
3
1
4
19
42
1
27
3
1
5
16
46
2
47
2
1
1
19
30
-
44
3
1
1
20
31
-
27
4
2
6
12
48
2
27
3
1
5
19
43
2
26
4
2
6
17
46
1
37
3
1
3
15
38
3
25
4
1
6
14
49
1
39
3
1
4
16
36
2
26
4
2
6
20
42
0
36
3
1
2
15
41
3
5
21
5
20
5
22
5
21
3
20
4
21
5
18
4
24
5
23
4
18
5
19
4
20
5
26
4
16
-17
-15
-18
-16
-17
-18
-13
-20
-18
-14
-14
-16
-21
-13
69
68
69
71
53
56
71
72
74
60
73
59
74
61
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
15
5
3
4
21
52
1
15
6
3
4
21
51
0
15
3
2
5
22
52
1
13
5
3
5
20
55
1
27
2
2
1
32
35
1
25
2
2
1
30
39
1
12
7
3
5
19
54
0
13
3
2
5
20
55
1
11
5
2
5
20
56
0
20
4
3
3
23
46
1
10
7
3
5
19
55
-
22
3
3
3
25
43
1
12
3
1
6
22
56
0
18
4
4
3
21
48
2
7
26
9
25
6
26
8
25
4
33
4
31
10
24
6
26
7
26
7
26
10
24
6
28
4
27
8
24
-19
-16
-21
-17
-29
-27
-14
-20
-18
-19
-13
-22
-23
-16
85
85
84
87
72
74
88
86
88
79
90
77
87
80
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
45
25
5
6
18
1
44
26
5
8
15
1
46
24
4
5
20
1
44
26
5
7
17
1
55
17
2
4
23
-
52
22
2
3
20
0
42
26
6
9
15
2
46
25
4
5
19
1
45
26
5
7
15
1
45
23
4
6
21
2
43
26
6
9
15
1
47
26
3
7
15
2
48
26
4
5
16
0
43
21
5
4
25
2
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
20
38
2
1
37
2
22
47
2
1
28
1
19
31
2
1
45
2
20
40
2
2
36
1
25
23
4
46
2
22
30
3
0
41
3
21
48
2
2
28
0
19
33
2
2
43
2
20
42
3
2
32
1
21
33
1
0
43
2
21
52
2
2
22
1
23
36
1
0
39
-
19
32
3
2
43
1
19
31
1
45
3
targetsmart.com
Education
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Men
Non Coll
Men
Coll
White/Education
Women
Non - Women
Coll
Coll
White
Non Coll
Evangelical
White
Coll
Total
Evange
lical
White
Evange
lical
Total
18 - 49
50 and
over
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
Party ID Difference...
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
30
3
1
5
17
43
2
32
2
2
5
16
42
1
28
5
1
4
18
44
2
24
4
2
7
17
46
1
35
3
1
2
16
40
2
39
3
1
2
13
40
2
21
4
2
8
15
49
1
32
3
1
2
19
40
2
27
4
2
6
18
44
0
32
3
1
3
14
45
3
22
4
2
7
17
47
1
34
3
3
2
13
42
2
30
4
4
2
11
46
2
5
21
4
21
5
22
6
24
4
19
3
16
6
23
4
22
5
24
4
17
5
25
6
16
8
13
-17
-17
-16
-18
-15
-12
-18
-18
-18
-13
-19
-9
-6
69
67
70
75
62
59
78
66
73
65
77
64
67
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
15
5
3
4
21
52
1
16
3
2
6
19
53
0
13
6
3
3
24
50
1
11
5
2
6
24
53
0
19
4
3
3
19
51
1
21
4
4
2
19
51
-
9
8
2
7
23
51
0
16
4
2
5
19
51
2
13
3
2
4
24
54
-
16
5
3
4
16
56
1
10
5
3
6
23
53
0
17
6
4
5
16
52
0
15
7
4
5
12
57
1
7
26
5
25
9
27
7
29
7
23
8
21
10
30
6
24
5
29
7
20
8
29
10
21
11
17
-19
-20
-17
-22
-16
-13
-20
-18
-24
-13
-21
-10
-6
85
83
87
89
81
79
91
82
87
84
90
83
85
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
45
25
5
6
18
1
48
25
4
6
16
1
42
25
5
7
19
1
51
22
6
7
13
0
40
28
3
6
22
2
38
30
4
8
17
2
50
23
6
8
13
0
41
26
3
3
26
2
52
22
6
6
13
1
38
28
4
6
21
2
50
23
6
8
13
1
37
34
2
4
22
1
35
37
3
5
19
1
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
20
38
2
1
37
2
18
40
2
2
37
1
22
37
2
1
36
2
23
40
2
2
32
2
18
37
2
1
41
1
18
44
2
1
35
0
25
49
2
2
20
2
18
31
2
1
46
3
20
31
3
2
42
1
18
40
2
1
38
1
22
40
2
2
33
1
15
43
1
2
38
1
14
48
1
3
34
1
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Clevel and
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
Canton OH
OH
OH
Total
Other
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
-5
-10
-10
-11
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
30
3
1
5
17
43
2
30
4
1
3
21
40
1
25
2
1
7
16
48
2
29
2
7
10
49
3
33
5
3
3
16
39
1
5
21
5
24
3
22
2
16
7
19
-17
-20
-20
-15
-12
69
69
73
68
65
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
15
5
3
4
21
52
1
16
4
4
5
24
47
0
11
4
1
4
22
56
1
17
3
1
6
17
54
1
14
6
3
3
20
53
1
7
26
8
28
5
27
5
23
9
24
-19
-21
-22
-18
-15
85
83
88
82
85
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
45
25
5
6
18
1
46
22
6
6
19
1
48
24
7
5
15
1
46
22
3
9
20
1
42
31
2
7
16
2
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
20
38
2
1
37
2
23
35
2
1
39
2
15
42
4
2
36
1
23
35
3
2
36
1
19
42
1
1
35
2
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
Party ID Difference...
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
30
3
1
5
17
43
2
24
4
2
4
16
48
1
27
4
2
5
17
45
1
27
4
1
5
18
44
2
28
3
1
5
18
43
1
35
3
1
4
14
42
2
5
21
6
21
5
22
5
23
5
22
5
17
-17
-14
-17
-18
-18
-13
69
75
72
71
70
64
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
15
5
3
4
21
52
1
11
6
2
4
20
57
0
12
5
2
4
22
54
0
13
5
2
4
23
52
0
14
5
2
4
23
52
0
17
4
3
5
18
51
1
7
26
8
24
6
27
7
27
7
27
7
23
-19
-16
-20
-20
-20
-15
85
89
87
86
86
81
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
45
25
5
6
18
1
45
25
5
8
17
1
47
23
5
7
17
1
47
23
5
6
17
1
46
24
5
7
17
1
42
28
4
6
19
1
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
20
38
2
1
37
2
22
42
3
2
31
1
20
40
3
2
35
1
20
38
2
1
36
2
20
38
2
2
36
2
20
39
1
1
37
1
targetsmart.com
Total
Dem
-1
-5
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
Party ID Difference...
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
(No answer)
25
24
27
23
1
23
20
30
25
2
29
29
24
18
0
23
21
28
28
0
20
21
31
25
3
38
25
17
20
1
33
26
26
16
-
33
20
28
19
-
15
25
29
30
0
18 - 49
50 and over
49
50
43
55
58
42
44
56
41
56
63
37
59
41
53
47
40
59
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
48
52
38
62
54
46
50
50
43
57
49
51
51
49
47
53
51
49
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
24
8
11
10
15
11
21
0
76
24
-
30
29
41
-
36
64
-
53
11
16
9
4
3
2
0
20
11
17
13
17
11
11
1
13
7
14
11
21
12
22
0
14
7
6
12
22
14
25
-
2
2
2
9
20
20
46
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
31
36
32
100
-
100
-
100
65
29
6
31
46
22
20
46
34
21
40
39
4
30
66
Dem-Rep
-1
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
42
10
47
100
-
30
29
41
100
80
9
10
48
13
38
34
11
55
27
12
61
5
9
86
Dem-Rep
-5
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
(Prefer not to answer)
10
14
30
26
16
3
23
28
26
10
7
5
7
10
43
29
8
2
1
4
19
39
34
2
21
22
30
14
8
5
10
17
39
22
7
5
5
15
33
31
14
3
10
5
33
29
21
3
2
4
22
39
32
1
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
24
43
51
17
17
37
5
73
43
22
27
30
20
45
14
50
6
71
Respondent gender...
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Total
Men
Race
Women White
Black
Non White
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Marital Status
Gender/Marital
White White
Men Women
Marr
ied
Unmarr
ied
Marr
ied
Men
Marr Unmarr
Unmarr
ied
ied
ied Men Women Women
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
(No answer)
25
24
27
23
1
21
29
27
22
1
28
19
28
24
1
24
25
27
24
0
27
16
32
22
3
31
18
28
19
3
19
31
26
23
1
28
19
28
25
-
21
28
30
21
0
33
16
23
27
1
15
32
27
26
0
33
21
27
15
3
26
24
33
16
1
32
12
19
36
-
18 - 49
50 and over
49
50
50
49
47
52
48
51
43
53
50
47
50
49
47
53
49
51
49
49
48
52
55
42
50
50
45
55
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
48
52
100
-
100
48
52
44
56
48
52
100
-
100
50
50
44
56
100
-
100
-
100
100
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
24
8
11
10
15
11
21
0
18
7
11
13
18
13
21
-
29
8
11
8
12
10
21
1
19
7
10
10
17
13
23
0
55
9
18
10
2
1
5
-
45
9
18
11
4
3
9
-
14
7
9
12
20
15
23
-
25
7
10
8
14
11
24
0
19
9
10
9
15
12
26
0
31
6
13
12
14
11
13
-
13
8
10
12
19
14
26
-
26
6
12
16
16
12
11
-
25
10
10
7
12
10
26
0
35
6
14
9
12
10
14
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
31
36
32
25
41
34
37
31
31
27
37
37
64
30
6
54
34
12
21
42
38
32
32
35
27
35
38
37
39
23
20
40
40
32
45
23
34
29
36
41
35
24
Respondent gender...
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
42
10
47
35
13
52
49
8
43
36
10
53
82
10
8
72
11
16
30
12
58
42
8
49
37
9
53
50
12
37
30
12
58
44
16
39
44
7
48
55
9
36
Dem-Rep
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
(Prefer not to answer)
10
14
30
26
16
3
7
12
31
31
16
3
13
16
29
22
16
4
9
14
30
28
17
2
19
14
29
15
15
9
16
13
31
18
15
7
7
10
30
34
16
3
10
18
30
23
17
2
9
13
30
29
18
2
13
16
30
23
13
5
7
10
30
34
17
2
9
15
33
26
14
3
11
16
30
23
19
2
16
17
28
21
12
6
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
24
43
19
48
29
38
23
45
32
30
29
33
18
50
28
40
22
47
29
36
17
52
24
40
26
42
33
33
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Education
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Men
Non Coll
Men
Coll
White/Education
Women
Non - Women
Coll
Coll
White
Non Coll
Evangelical
White
Coll
Total
Evange
lical
White
Evange
lical
Total
18 - 49
50 and
over
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
Party ID Difference...
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
(No answer)
25
24
27
23
1
51
49
-
54
46
-
27
30
24
18
1
23
17
31
29
1
21
25
31
22
1
22
33
23
21
1
24
10
32
34
0
33
28
24
14
1
21
18
31
29
-
26
31
23
19
1
22
26
22
29
1
22
26
21
30
-
18 - 49
50 and over
49
50
100
-
100
58
41
40
60
46
53
55
44
34
66
61
39
39
61
57
43
48
51
49
51
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
48
52
49
51
46
54
48
52
48
52
100
-
100
-
100
100
49
51
47
53
41
59
42
58
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
24
8
11
10
15
11
21
0
19
8
14
13
16
11
18
0
27
7
8
8
14
12
24
0
22
8
11
13
13
13
20
-
26
7
11
8
17
10
22
0
20
7
14
8
21
11
19
-
15
7
7
18
15
16
22
-
31
7
8
7
13
9
24
0
27
9
15
8
12
11
18
-
19
7
10
8
19
11
25
0
20
8
9
13
15
15
21
-
20
5
7
7
15
11
36
-
11
4
5
8
17
13
41
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
31
36
32
28
43
29
34
30
36
29
37
33
33
35
31
27
43
30
22
40
38
39
29
32
36
35
29
26
37
36
27
36
36
25
29
47
15
30
54
Respondent gender...
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
42
10
47
42
13
45
42
8
50
41
13
46
44
8
48
41
8
51
30
18
53
47
7
45
51
8
41
36
8
55
36
13
51
31
7
61
21
8
71
Dem-Rep
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
(Prefer not to answer)
10
14
30
26
16
3
14
13
32
23
16
3
7
15
28
30
17
4
13
15
34
24
13
1
8
13
27
29
19
5
6
11
29
30
20
4
8
12
33
33
12
2
9
15
25
28
18
5
17
18
34
16
14
1
6
14
25
32
19
4
12
14
34
24
14
1
5
6
22
32
32
4
2
5
21
33
37
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
24
43
26
39
22
46
28
37
21
48
17
50
21
45
24
46
35
30
19
52
26
38
10
64
7
70
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Total
Clevel and
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
Canton OH
OH
OH
Other
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
-5
-10
-10
-11
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
(No answer)
25
24
27
23
1
23
20
30
24
3
26
31
27
14
1
25
21
27
26
-
26
22
24
28
0
18 - 49
50 and over
49
50
44
54
58
42
46
54
48
51
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
48
52
50
50
44
56
53
47
44
56
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
24
8
11
10
15
11
21
0
26
10
12
9
16
11
15
0
17
7
15
12
13
14
22
1
21
7
11
11
15
12
23
0
27
5
7
10
14
10
26
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
31
36
32
36
38
26
24
40
36
28
37
35
33
31
36
Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
42
10
47
48
9
42
39
12
49
39
11
49
40
10
50
Dem-Rep
-5
-10
-10
-11
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
(Prefer not to answer)
10
14
30
26
16
3
11
13
32
27
13
5
11
15
28
29
15
2
8
14
35
23
17
3
9
15
26
26
21
3
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
24
43
24
39
26
44
23
40
23
47
Respondent gender...
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
Party ID Difference...
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
(No answer)
25
24
27
23
1
15
26
27
30
1
20
26
25
27
1
21
25
27
26
1
22
25
27
26
1
35
21
27
16
1
18 - 49
50 and over
49
50
41
58
46
52
46
53
46
53
55
43
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
48
52
52
48
50
50
48
52
48
52
48
52
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
24
8
11
10
15
11
21
0
23
5
10
7
15
13
26
0
25
6
11
8
14
12
24
0
25
6
11
9
14
11
23
0
25
7
12
10
14
11
22
0
19
11
9
13
18
14
17
0
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
31
36
32
28
33
39
30
34
35
31
35
34
32
35
33
30
40
30
Dem-Rep
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
42
10
47
38
7
54
42
8
50
43
9
48
44
10
47
38
13
48
Dem-Rep
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
(Prefer not to answer)
10
14
30
26
16
3
11
15
26
28
19
2
11
14
29
26
17
3
12
13
29
26
17
3
12
14
29
25
17
3
4
14
32
30
16
4
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
24
43
25
47
25
43
25
43
26
42
19
46
Respondent gender...
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Total
Dem
-1
-5
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
Party ID Difference...
Education...
Total Answering
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college/bachelor's degree
Post-graduate school/masters/PhD
(Prefer not to answer)
2
22
3
22
30
20
1
2
27
3
20
25
22
1
2
19
2
25
33
18
0
2
20
3
22
31
20
1
3
23
4
23
27
18
1
3
18
2
21
25
30
2
2
20
1
29
28
21
0
2
27
3
19
31
15
3
1
21
3
18
37
19
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
24
25
50
29
23
47
21
27
52
22
25
52
26
27
46
21
23
54
22
29
49
29
22
46
22
21
56
Not College
49
52
48
47
53
44
51
51
44
Religion...
Total Answering
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
Nothing in particular
(Prefer not to answer)
49
24
0
1
1
3
3
2
13
3
46
20
4
1
6
3
1
16
3
39
27
0
0
2
4
4
2
17
4
62
26
1
0
0
1
2
5
2
45
19
4
2
6
2
2
17
3
38
24
1
1
2
7
1
21
5
49
26
1
1
2
3
3
1
10
4
47
27
2
3
4
15
2
60
28
2
1
2
1
4
3
Evangelical
28
22
22
41
22
21
29
25
39
Marital Status...
Total Answering
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
Married
Single
Separated/divorced
Widowed
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
20
9
7
1
54
24
8
11
2
60
25
10
4
1
73
10
10
6
0
51
27
9
10
3
52
29
12
6
1
66
19
10
5
0
67
16
7
5
4
78
8
8
6
-
Total Non-Married
36
43
39
26
47
47
34
28
22
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
83
14
2
0
1
0
70
28
1
0
0
0
84
11
2
1
2
0
94
3
3
0
1
0
65
32
1
1
1
1
84
11
2
0
2
1
87
6
5
1
0
0
95
3
0
2
0
96
2
1
1
0
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)
targetsmart.com
Total
Men
Race
Women White
Black
Non White
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Marital Status
Gender/Marital
White White
Men Women
Marr
ied
Unmarr
ied
Marr
ied
Men
Marr Unmarr
Unmarr
ied
ied
ied Men Women Women
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
Education...
Total Answering
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college/bachelor's degree
Post-graduate school/masters/
PhD
(Prefer not to answer)
2
22
3
22
30
2
22
3
22
31
2
21
3
23
29
2
23
3
21
30
4
19
3
29
26
4
19
2
29
28
1
24
3
22
31
2
22
3
20
30
1
20
3
19
33
4
26
3
28
25
1
21
4
21
32
5
25
1
25
29
1
19
2
17
34
2
26
4
30
22
20
19
21
21
17
15
21
22
24
14
22
14
26
15
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
24
25
25
25
23
25
24
24
24
32
24
31
25
24
24
23
21
22
29
31
22
24
31
26
20
19
28
34
College Graduate
50
50
50
52
43
43
51
52
57
39
54
43
60
36
Not College
49
49
48
48
55
55
49
47
43
60
46
57
39
63
Religion...
Total Answering
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
Nothing in particular
(Prefer not to answer)
49
24
0
1
1
3
3
2
13
3
45
28
1
1
1
4
3
1
14
2
52
21
0
2
1
2
3
2
11
4
47
27
1
2
1
3
3
1
12
3
63
8
2
5
2
19
1
61
11
4
4
0
3
17
1
44
30
1
1
0
5
3
1
13
2
49
25
1
3
1
2
3
2
11
4
52
26
1
1
2
3
2
2
9
3
43
22
0
3
0
4
4
1
20
3
51
30
0
0
1
4
1
1
9
2
34
23
1
1
1
6
6
1
25
3
54
22
1
1
2
2
3
2
9
4
50
22
4
2
3
1
15
3
Evangelical
28
24
32
27
36
35
24
30
29
27
28
16
30
36
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
Married
Single
Separated/divorced
Widowed
(Don't know/prefer not to
answer)
62
20
9
7
66
22
8
4
59
18
11
10
67
18
9
6
37
34
14
11
41
32
12
10
71
19
7
3
63
17
11
9
100
-
55
26
19
100
-
65
24
11
100
-
47
28
25
Total Non-Married
36
34
38
33
59
54
29
36
100
100
100
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
83
14
2
0
1
0
83
13
2
1
2
0
83
15
2
0
0
1
100
-
100
-
80
12
3
5
-
100
-
100
-
89
8
2
1
0
0
75
22
2
0
1
0
90
6
2
1
1
0
70
24
3
1
3
0
88
10
2
0
-
78
21
1
0
0
-
Marital Status...
Total Answering
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)
targetsmart.com
Education
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Men
Non Coll
Men
Coll
White/Education
Women
Non - Women
Coll
Coll
White
Non Coll
Evangelical
White
Coll
Total
Evange
lical
White
Evange
lical
Total
18 - 49
50 and
over
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
Party ID Difference...
Education...
Total Answering
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college/bachelor's degree
Post-graduate school/masters/PhD
(Prefer not to answer)
2
22
3
22
30
20
1
2
19
1
18
37
23
1
3
24
4
27
24
17
1
60
40
-
4
45
5
46
-
5
45
6
44
-
62
38
-
4
44
5
47
-
58
42
-
3
47
6
44
-
59
41
-
4
25
2
24
28
15
1
3
28
2
21
30
16
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
24
25
50
21
19
60
27
31
41
100
49
51
-
50
50
-
100
48
52
-
100
50
50
-
100
29
26
43
30
23
45
Not College
49
40
58
100
100
100
100
55
54
Religion...
Total Answering
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
Nothing in particular
(Prefer not to answer)
49
24
0
1
1
3
3
2
13
3
43
25
1
1
1
5
4
2
17
2
54
25
0
2
1
2
2
1
9
4
48
24
1
2
1
4
4
2
12
3
50
25
0
1
1
2
2
1
13
3
46
28
0
0
2
3
2
0
17
1
45
27
1
1
6
4
2
12
3
54
22
0
1
1
2
2
2
10
5
50
21
1
3
2
3
3
2
12
3
47
28
0
1
0
2
2
1
13
4
46
26
1
2
1
4
4
1
11
3
100
-
100
-
Evangelical
28
28
29
24
32
27
22
37
27
30
24
100
100
Marital Status...
Total Answering
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
Married
Single
Separated/divorced
Widowed
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
20
9
7
1
63
28
7
2
1
63
12
12
12
2
71
21
6
2
1
54
20
13
12
1
61
22
11
6
-
70
21
6
2
1
48
17
15
18
2
71
20
7
2
1
61
16
13
11
0
73
20
6
2
0
64
14
14
7
2
72
9
14
5
-
Total Non-Married
36
37
35
28
45
39
29
50
28
39
27
35
28
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
83
14
2
0
1
0
83
12
4
1
1
0
84
14
1
0
1
0
85
12
2
1
0
0
81
15
2
0
1
0
82
14
2
2
0
84
11
3
1
1
0
80
16
3
0
0
87
12
1
0
0
-
100
-
100
-
79
18
2
0
2
0
100
-
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Total
Clevel and
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
Canton OH
OH
OH
Other
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
-5
-10
-10
-11
Education...
Total Answering
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college/bachelor's degree
Post-graduate school/masters/PhD
(Prefer not to answer)
2
22
3
22
30
20
1
1
20
3
26
27
22
1
1
21
3
20
33
21
1
3
21
2
19
35
19
2
4
26
2
22
28
18
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
24
25
50
20
29
49
22
23
55
24
20
54
29
24
46
Not College
49
50
44
44
54
Religion...
Total Answering
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
Nothing in particular
(Prefer not to answer)
49
24
0
1
1
3
3
2
13
3
45
29
2
1
4
3
1
11
3
58
13
2
1
6
1
2
14
3
45
30
2
1
3
1
14
4
48
24
1
2
1
2
3
2
13
4
Evangelical
28
23
32
25
32
Marital Status...
Total Answering
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
Married
Single
Separated/divorced
Widowed
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
20
9
7
1
58
24
9
8
1
68
15
10
5
2
65
18
7
8
2
62
20
11
7
1
Total Non-Married
36
41
30
33
37
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
83
14
2
0
1
0
80
16
2
0
1
1
82
14
2
1
1
0
80
16
2
1
1
0
87
10
2
0
0
0
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
Party ID Difference...
Education...
Total Answering
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college/bachelor's degree
Post-graduate school/masters/PhD
(Prefer not to answer)
2
22
3
22
30
20
1
1
18
2
23
33
22
1
1
21
2
22
31
21
1
1
21
2
22
32
21
1
2
21
3
22
31
21
1
3
24
3
24
27
19
0
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
24
25
50
19
25
54
22
24
53
22
24
52
23
24
51
27
27
46
Not College
49
45
46
46
47
54
Religion...
Total Answering
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
Nothing in particular
(Prefer not to answer)
49
24
0
1
1
3
3
2
13
3
50
26
0
2
0
4
2
1
11
2
48
25
0
2
1
5
3
1
12
3
48
25
0
2
1
4
3
1
13
4
47
25
0
2
1
4
3
2
13
4
54
22
1
1
2
1
2
2
13
3
Evangelical
28
28
28
28
27
30
Marital Status...
Total Answering
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
Married
Single
Separated/divorced
Widowed
(Don't know/prefer not to answer)
62
20
9
7
1
70
17
6
5
2
66
19
6
6
2
65
20
7
6
2
65
19
8
7
2
55
22
15
8
1
Total Non-Married
36
29
32
34
33
44
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
83
14
2
0
1
0
88
10
1
0
0
85
12
2
0
0
0
84
13
2
0
1
0
84
13
2
0
1
0
79
16
1
1
1
1
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)
targetsmart.com
Total
Dem
-1
-5
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
100
-100
59
10
-15
-19
-62
100
-10
-100
71
10
-21
-34
-80
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
33
22
16
11
8
5
6
39
16
15
9
9
7
6
35
24
16
12
5
3
5
27
24
17
12
10
5
6
43
20
14
9
4
5
4
41
22
12
9
6
6
5
29
21
16
10
13
4
7
22
25
16
14
9
3
10
25
23
21
13
8
5
5
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
25
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
31
3
2
5
3
2
3
4
4
10
64
21
6
5
8
6
5
6
8
10
25
51
7
5
5
5
6
6
5
4
6
100
43
57
-
27
23
24
27
-
51
49
-
100
-
(812)
(254)
(293)
(262)
(252)
(110)
(165)
(82)
(204)
0
0
1
2
3
5
6
8
13
62
1
0
1
3
6
3
10
16
60
0
0
1
2
4
6
8
6
14
58
0
1
2
2
3
6
9
9
68
0
0
1
1
4
4
3
6
13
68
1
2
4
3
12
8
11
18
42
2
3
4
6
11
14
18
42
1
0
2
1
6
9
11
14
56
0
0
1
2
1
3
4
7
83
Party ID Difference...
Media Market...
Total Answering
Cleveland-Akron Canton OH
Columbus OH
Cincinnati OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other
targetsmart.com
Total
Men
Race
Women White
Black
Non White
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Marital Status
Gender/Marital
White White
Men Women
Marr
ied
Unmarr
ied
Marr
ied
Men
Marr Unmarr
Unmarr
ied
ied
ied Men Women Women
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
-9
-10
58
42
-17
-3
-11
14
-19
-2
18
-5
-16
-17
73
56
-28
-7
-16
13
-28
-4
19
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
33
22
16
11
8
5
6
35
20
18
11
5
5
5
32
23
14
10
10
5
6
32
21
15
11
9
5
6
38
21
19
12
1
4
4
38
22
19
11
2
3
5
34
21
17
11
6
5
5
31
22
14
11
12
5
6
31
24
17
11
7
5
6
38
18
15
11
8
5
6
33
22
19
10
4
6
6
39
16
16
15
8
3
4
29
25
15
11
11
4
6
37
19
13
8
9
6
7
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
25
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
31
27
5
4
8
4
5
4
7
7
28
24
5
5
3
5
4
6
5
8
34
29
6
5
6
5
5
5
6
7
24
4
1
1
3
1
2
4
3
7
74
6
1
2
4
1
4
6
4
8
63
31
7
5
7
5
5
4
7
7
22
27
6
6
4
5
5
7
6
8
26
31
5
5
6
4
5
6
5
6
25
16
5
3
4
5
5
4
7
11
40
34
5
6
7
5
4
4
7
6
21
14
7
2
8
4
7
5
5
9
39
29
6
5
5
4
5
8
3
6
29
17
3
4
1
6
4
4
8
12
41
Media Market...
Total Answering
Cleveland-Akron Canton OH
Columbus OH
Cincinnati OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other
(812)
(387)
(424)
(671)
(110)
(137)
(320)
(351)
(506)
(294)
(254)
(130)
(252)
(163)
0
0
1
2
3
5
6
8
13
62
0
1
2
3
5
6
8
11
64
0
0
1
1
3
5
5
9
16
60
0
0
1
2
3
4
6
8
12
64
1
1
1
3
11
4
8
17
53
1
1
1
4
10
5
8
19
51
0
1
2
4
3
6
8
9
66
0
0
1
1
2
4
6
9
15
61
0
0
1
1
3
4
5
8
12
66
1
1
2
4
7
7
9
15
54
0
1
2
3
3
5
8
11
67
1
1
3
4
7
8
8
10
58
0
1
1
2
4
5
8
14
65
1
1
2
3
8
6
10
19
51
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
targetsmart.com
Education
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Men
Non Coll
Men
Coll
White/Education
Women
Non - Women
Coll
Coll
White
Non Coll
Evangelical
White
Coll
Total
Evange
lical
White
Evange
lical
Total
18 - 49
50 and
over
-1
-1
-2
-4
-3
-16
-10
-9
-22
-39
-5
-3
-8
-6
-4
-10
-23
10
-19
-15
-30
-50
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
33
22
16
11
8
5
6
30
26
15
12
7
4
6
36
18
17
10
9
6
5
33
24
17
11
8
3
5
34
19
15
11
8
6
7
37
19
13
11
5
7
7
33
20
23
11
6
3
4
31
19
16
11
10
6
7
33
27
12
10
10
3
5
32
19
15
10
9
7
7
33
24
16
11
9
3
5
28
24
15
13
8
4
8
26
27
13
12
9
4
8
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
25
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
31
21
5
5
6
5
6
7
8
10
26
30
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
6
35
28
5
4
4
4
6
5
7
8
28
22
5
5
7
5
3
6
5
7
34
22
6
5
10
4
5
5
6
7
30
32
5
4
5
5
6
4
7
7
25
23
4
6
5
6
2
6
5
7
37
24
5
5
2
4
7
7
6
9
31
27
6
6
9
6
3
5
6
6
26
31
6
5
3
5
7
5
7
9
23
35
5
4
6
4
7
5
4
6
25
40
5
4
7
5
7
6
4
7
15
Party ID Difference...
Media Market...
Total Answering
Cleveland-Akron Canton OH
Columbus OH
Cincinnati OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other
(812)
(394)
(409)
(406)
(397)
(192)
(194)
(205)
(212)
(322)
(347)
(229)
(180)
0
0
1
2
3
5
6
8
13
62
0
1
2
4
5
7
9
12
59
0
0
1
1
3
5
5
7
14
64
0
0
1
1
3
4
7
7
12
65
0
1
2
4
6
5
10
14
58
0
1
3
3
4
5
8
11
64
0
1
2
4
5
7
7
10
64
1
1
2
4
8
5
11
17
53
0
1
1
2
3
6
7
14
66
0
1
2
3
5
5
10
13
61
0
0
1
1
3
3
7
7
12
66
1
1
2
3
5
4
12
12
61
0
1
2
4
3
4
12
9
66
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Total
Clevel and
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
Canton OH
OH
OH
Other
Party ID Difference...
2-3-2 PARTY ID Dem-Rep
-1
11
-12
-7
-3
-5
-10
-10
-11
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
33
22
16
11
8
5
6
100
-
100
-
100
-
37
26
17
19
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
25
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
31
19
3
3
6
4
2
5
7
10
40
27
7
4
5
4
6
5
5
9
28
32
4
6
4
4
5
6
4
6
27
27
6
7
5
6
6
6
7
5
24
(812)
(272)
(175)
(131)
(235)
0
0
1
2
3
5
6
8
13
62
0
1
1
3
5
5
8
15
62
0
1
2
2
5
2
9
12
68
1
2
4
4
8
4
12
65
0
0
1
2
4
5
8
11
13
55
Media Market...
Total Answering
Cleveland-Akron Canton OH
Columbus OH
Cincinnati OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
-1
-11
-5
-2
-1
-1
-5
-16
-8
-5
-3
-10
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
33
22
16
11
8
5
6
36
22
17
10
7
5
4
34
24
17
10
7
5
4
34
23
16
10
7
5
5
34
23
17
10
7
5
5
31
18
15
14
10
5
7
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
25
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
31
37
5
4
3
3
2
3
4
3
34
34
5
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
34
31
5
4
4
3
4
4
5
5
33
30
5
5
4
3
4
5
5
6
34
11
6
6
8
9
7
8
8
14
23
(812)
(388)
(500)
(566)
(608)
(204)
0
0
1
2
3
5
6
8
13
62
100
100
12
88
18
82
0
1
4
7
12
20
23
33
-
Party ID Difference...
Media Market...
Total Answering
Cleveland-Akron Canton OH
Columbus OH
Cincinnati OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other
targetsmart.com